Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription Access

Calculation Model of Long-Term Economic Growth of Russia on the Basis of the Solow Model

Boyko A.A., Kukartsev V.V.


The paper presents a simulation-dynamic model for calculating long-term economic growth based on the neoclassical model of R. Solow. The model is developed on the basis of the system dynamics method by AnyLogic tools. In the constructed model, calculations were carried out for two variants of the long-term development of the Russian economy, without and with regard to scientific and technical progress. The model for calculating long-term economic growth was used as a tool for researching which development option is more profitable. The structure of the interface for managing models for calculating long-term economic growth according to the Solow model is presented. The diagram of  flows and calculation levels for long-term economic growth is graphically depicted. The software control panel for a long-term economic growth calculation model is also presented. The results of calculation of long-term economic growth without taking into account scientific and technological progress are shown graphically and presented in figures. As a result of experiments with options, it was found that the option that takes the technical progress into account is preferred. The study allows us to conclude that the developed simulation-dynamic model is quite universal and on its basis it is possible to conduct a variety of studies relating to different levels of various aspects of the long-term development of economic systems.


simulation dynamic model; software tools; technical progress; economic growth; economic and mathematical modeling

Full Text


PDF (Русский)
References References

Germain M. Georgescu-Roegen versus Solow/Stiglitz: Back to a controversy. Ecological Economics, 2019. 160, 168-182.

Etro F. The Romer model with monopolistic competition and general technologies. M. : Economics Letters, 2019.

Куликов Д. А. Устойчивость и локальные бифуркации в модели солоу с запаздыванием // Журнал Средневолжского математического общества. 2018. Т. 20. № 2. С. 225–234.

Никоноров В. М. Математическая модель торговли РФ на основе модели солоу // Наука и бизнес: пути развития. 2018. № 9 (87). С. 77–80.

Boyko A. A., Kukartsev V. V., Lobkov K. Y., Stu-pinaA. A. Strategic planning toolset for reproduction of machinebuilding engines and equipment. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 1015, No. 4, p. 042006). IOP Publishing.

Никоноров В. М. Некоторое решение математической модели торговли РФ на основе модели Солоу // Перспективы науки. 2018. № 9 (108). С. 51–55.

Шишмакова Н. С., Зуев В. С. Прогнозирование экономики России с помощью математической модели Солоу // Наука сегодня: глобальные вызовы и механизмы развития. 2018. С. 75–77.

Гаджикурбанов Д. М., Лабутина Л. М. Модель экономического роста Солоу // Современные тенденции развития науки и технологий. 2015. №. 8-9. С. 22.

Коршунов В. А., Райнхардт Р. О. Оценка остатка Солоу для реального и потенциального ВВП: практический расчет для стран-членов ОЭСР // Вестник Института экономики РАН. 2017. №. 3.

Национальные счета. URL: (дата обращения: 28.05.2019).

Демография. URL: (дата обращения: 28.05.2019).

Основные фонды. URL: wcm/connect/rosstat_main/rosstat/ru/statistics/enterprise/fund (дата обращения: 28.05.2019).

Boyko A. A., Kukartsev V. V., Tynchenko V. S., Chzhan E. A., Stupina A. A. Algorithm for managing investment resources for enterprises' fixed assets reproduction. In International conference "Economy in the modern world"(ICEMW 2018). Atlantis Press. 2018.

Никоноров В. М. Некоторое решение математической модели торговли рф на основе модели со-лоу // Перспективы науки. 2018. № 9 (108). С. 51–55.


Article Metrics

Metrics Loading ...

Metrics powered by PLOS ALM


  • There are currently no refbacks.

Copyright (c) 2019 Бойко А.А., Кукарцев В.В.

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

ISSN 1813-7911